Quotes For The Great Depression

Key Findings

California voters have at present received their mail ballots, and the November 8 general election has entered its final stage. Amid rising prices and economic uncertainty—besides as deep partisan divisions over social and political problems—Californians are processing a nifty bargain of information to help them choose land constitutional officers and state legislators and to make policy decisions about state propositions. The 2022 midterm election as well features a closely divided Congress, with the likelihood that a few races in California may decide which party controls the US House.

These are amongst the key findings of a statewide survey on country and national issues conducted from Oct 14 to 23 by the Public Policy Institute of California:

Many Californians have negative perceptions of their personal finances and the US economic system. Seventy-vi percent rate the nation'south economic system as "not and so good" or "poor." Thirty-9 percent say their finances are "worse off" today than a year ago. Forty-vii percent say that things in California are going in the right direction, while 33 percent think things in the The states are going in the right direction; partisans differ in their overall outlook.→
Amidst likely voters, 55 percentage would vote for Gavin Newsom and 36 percent would vote for Brian Dahle if the governor'south election were today. Partisans are securely divided in their choices. Lx pct are very or fairly closely following news almost the governor's race. Sixty-ii percent are satisfied with the candidate choices in the governor'due south ballot.→
When probable voters are read the ballot title and labels, 34 percentage would vote yes on Suggestion 26 (sports betting at tribal casinos), 26 percentage would vote yep on Proposition 27 (online sports gambling), and 41 percent would vote yep on Proposition 30 (reducing greenhouse gases). Most likely voters say they are not personally interested in sports betting, and 48 percent think information technology would be a "bad thing" if information technology became legal in the state. Fewer than half of likely voters say the vote consequence of Propositions 26, 27, or thirty is very important to them.→
Fifty-six percentage of likely voters would support the Democratic candidate in their US Business firm race if the election were today. Sixty-one percent say the issue of ballgame rights is very important in their vote for Congress this yr; Democrats are far more than likely than Republicans or independents to hold this view. Nearly half are "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting for Congress this year; 54 percent of Republicans and Democrats, and 41 pct of independents, are highly enthusiastic this twelvemonth.→
Forty-five percent of Californians and 40 percent of likely voters are satisfied with the style that democracy is working in the U.s.. Republicans are far less probable than Democrats and independents to concord this positive view. There is rare partisan consensus on one topic: majorities of Democrats, Republicans, and independents are pessimistic that Americans with dissimilar political views can notwithstanding come together and work out their differences.→
Majorities of California adults and likely voters approve of Governor Gavin Newsom and President Joe Biden. About 4 in ten or more California adults and likely voters approve of Us Senator Dianne Feinstein and United states Senator Alex Padilla. These approval ratings vary beyond partisan groups. Blessing of the state legislature is higher than approval of the U.s.a. Congress.→

Overall Mood

With less than 2 weeks to go until what is ready to exist a highly consequential midterm election, California adults are divided on whether the country is more often than not headed in the correct direction (47%) or wrong direction (48%); a bulk of likely voters (54%) think the state is headed in the wrong direction (43% right direction). Similar shares held this view last month (wrong direction: 44% adults, 49% likely voters; right direction: l% adults, 48% likely voters). Today, there is a wide partisan divide: seven in 10 Democrats are optimistic about the direction of the state, while 91 per centum of Republicans and 59 percentage of independents are pessimistic. Majorities of residents in the Fundamental Valley and Orange/San Diego say the country is going in the wrong management, while a majority in the San Francisco Bay Area say right direction; adults elsewhere are divided. Beyond demographic groups, Californians ages 18 to 34 (lx%), Asian Americans (52%), college graduates (52%), renters (52%), and women (52%) are the only groups in which a bulk are optimistic virtually California'due south direction.

figure - Half or fewer Californians have said the state is going in the right direction throughout 2022

Californians are much more pessimistic about the management of the country than they are near the direction of the state. Solid majorities of adults (62%) and likely voters (71%) say the U.s. is going in the incorrect direction, and majorities have held this view since September 2021. One in three or fewer adults (33%) and likely voters (25%) think the land is going in the correct management. Majorities beyond all demographic groups and partisan groups, as well equally across regions, are pessimistic nearly the management of the U.s..

figure - The share of adults who say the United States is going in the right direction has been trending downward since mid-2021

The state of the economy and inflation are likely to play a critical role in the upcoming election, and about 4 in x adults (39%) and likely voters (43%) say they and their family unit are worse off financially than they were a year agone. Like shares say they are financially in about the same spot (43% adults, 44% likely voters). The share who feel they are worse off has risen slightly among probable voters since May, simply is similar among adults (37% adults, 36% likely voters). Fewer than two in ten Californians say they are ameliorate off than they were one year ago (17% adults, 13% probable voters). A wide partisan separate exists: most Democrats and independents say their financial situation is almost the same every bit a year agone, while solid majorities of Republicans say they are worse off. Regionally, near half in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles say they are near the aforementioned, while half in the Fundamental Valley say they are worse off; residents elsewhere are divided between beingness worse off and the same. Beyond demographic groups, pluralities say they are either financially well-nigh the same as last year or worse off, with the exception of African Americans (51% well-nigh the same, 33% worse off, 16% better off) and Asian Americans (51% nigh the same, 27% worse off, xx% ameliorate off). The shares saying they are worse off turn down equally educational attainment increases.

With persistent inflation and concerns about a possible recession in the future, an overwhelming bulk of Californians believe the U.s.a. economic system is in non then good (43% adults, forty% likely voters) or poor (33% adults, 36% likely voters) shape. Well-nigh a quarter of adults (3% excellent, 20% expert) and likely voters (2% fantabulous, 23% good) feel positively about the national economy. Strong majorities across partisan groups feel negatively, but Republicans and independents are much more likely than Democrats to say the economy is in poor shape. Solid majorities across the state'southward major regions as well as all demographic groups say the economy is in not so skillful or poor shape. In a contempo ABC News/Washington Mail poll, 24 per centum (3% first-class, 21% skillful) of adults nationwide felt positively virtually the US economy, while 74 percentage (36% not so skilful, 38% poor) expressed negative views.

Gubernatorial Election

Vi in 10 probable voters say they are following news virtually the 2022 governor'due south race very (25%) or adequately (35%) closely—a share that has risen from half just a month ago (17% very, 33% fairly). This finding is somewhat similar to October 2018, when 68 pct said this (28% very, 40% closely) a calendar month before the previous gubernatorial ballot. Today, majorities across partisan, demographic, and regional groups say they are following news most the gubernatorial ballot either very or adequately closely. The shares saying they are post-obit the news very closely is highest among residents in Republican districts (39%), Republicans (xxx%), whites (29%), and adults with incomes of $forty,000 to $79,999 (29%). Older likely voters (27%) are slightly more likely than younger likely voters (21%) to say they are following the news closely.

figure - Six in ten likely voters are following news about candidates for the 2022 governor's election at least fairly closely

Democratic incumbent Gavin Newsom is ahead of Republican Brian Dahle (55% to 36%) among probable voters, while few say they would not vote, would vote for neither, or don't know who they would vote for in the governor's race. The share supporting the reelection of the governor was similar a month ago (58% Newsom, 31% Dahle). Today, Newsom enjoys the support of most Democrats (91%), while most Republicans (86%) support Dahle; Newsom has an edge over Dahle among contained probable voters (47% Newsom, 37% Dahle). Across the state'south regions, two in three in the San Francisco Bay Expanse and Los Angeles back up Newsom, as do well-nigh one-half in the Inland Empire and Orange/San Diego; likely voters in the Fundamental Valley are dissever. Newsom leads in all demographic groups, with the exception of men (45% Newsom, 44% Dahle) and those with a high schoolhouse diploma only (46% Newsom, 49% Dahle). The share supporting Newsom grows as educational attainment increases (46% high school simply, 56% some college, 60% higher graduates), while it decreases with ascension income (64% less than $twoscore,000, 56% $40,000 to $79,999, 52% $eighty,000 or more).

figure - A majority of likely voters would vote to reelect Gavin Newsom if the election were held today

A solid majority of likely voters (62%) are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the November 8 election, while near three in ten (32%) are not satisfied. Shares expressing satisfaction have increased somewhat from a month agone (53%) and were similar prior to the 2018 gubernatorial ballot (lx% Oct 2018). Today, a solid bulk of Democrats (79%) and independents (61%) say they are satisfied, compared to fewer than half of Republicans (44%). Majorities beyond demographic groups say they are satisfied, and notably, women (68%) are more than likely than men (56%) to say this. Majorities beyond the state'due south regions say they are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the upcoming gubernatorial election.

Land Propositions 26, 27, and thirty

In the upcoming November 8 election, there volition exist seven state propositions for voters. Due to time constraints, our survey merely asked about 3 election measures: Propositions 26, 27, and 30. For each, we read the proffer number, ballot, and election label. Two of the state ballot measures were also included in the September survey (Propositions 27 and 30), while Proposition 26 was not.

If the election were held today, 34 pct of probable voters would vote "yes," 57 percentage would vote "no," and 9 percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition 26—Allows In-Person Roulette, Die, Game, Sports Wagering on Tribal Lands. This measure would allow in-person sports betting at racetracks and tribal casinos, requiring that racetracks and casinos offering sports betting make sure payments to the state to support state regulatory costs. Information technology also allows roulette and dice games at tribal casinos and adds a new way to enforce certain land gambling laws. There is partisan agreement on Prop 26: fewer than four in ten Democrats, Republicans, and independents would vote "yep." Moreover, less than a majority across all regions and demographic groups—with the exception of likely voters ages 18 to 44 (51% yes, 44% no)—would vote "yes."

If the election were held today, 26 percent of likely voters would vote "yep," 67 percent would vote "no," and 8 per centum are unsure of how they would vote on Proffer 27—Allows Online and Mobile Sports Wagering Exterior Tribal Lands. This citizens' initiative would allow Indian tribes and affiliated businesses to operate online and mobile sports wagering exterior tribal lands. Strong majorities across partisan groups would vote "no" on Prop 27. The share voting "yes" has decreased since a month agone (34% September). Today, fewer than three in x across partisan groups would vote "yes" on Prop 27. Moreover, fewer than four in ten across regions, gender, racial/ethnic, education, and income groups would vote "yes." Likely voters ages eighteen to 44 (41%) are far more likely than older likely voters ages 45 and above (nineteen%) to say they would vote "yes."

If the election were held today, 41 percent of probable voters would vote "yep," 52 percent would vote "no," and 7 percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition 30—Provides Funding for Programs to Reduce Air Pollution and Forestall Wildfires by Increasing Tax on Personal Income over $2 Million. This citizens' initiative would increase taxes on Californians earning more than $ii million annually and classify that tax acquirement to zero-emission vehicle purchase incentives, vehicle charging stations, and wildfire prevention. The share maxim "yes" on Prop 30 has decreased from 55 percent in our September survey (notation: since September, Governor Newsom has been featured in "no on Prop thirty" commercials). Today, unlike Prop 26 and Prop 27, partisan opinions are divided on Prop thirty: 61 percent of Democrats would vote "yep," compared to far fewer Republicans (15%) and independents (38%). Across regions, and among men and women, back up falls brusk of a bulk (36% men, 45% women). Fewer than one-half beyond racial/ethnic groups say they would vote "yes" (39% whites, 42% Latinos, 46% other racial/ethnic groups). Just over half of likely voters with incomes nether $xl,000 (52%) would vote "yes," compared to fewer in higher-income groups (42% $40,000 to $79,999, 36% $lxxx,000 or more than). Nearly half of probable voters ages 18 to 44 (49%) would vote "yes," compared to 37 percent of older likely voters.

figure - Overall support for Prop 26, 27, and 30 falls short of a majority, with partisans divided

Fewer than one-half of likely voters say the outcome of each of these country propositions is very important to them. Today, 21 percent of likely voters say the outcome of Prop 26 is very important, 31 pct say the result of Prop 27 is very important, and 42 percent say the issue of Prop 30 is very of import. The shares saying the outcomes are very of import to them have remained similar to a calendar month ago for Prop 27 (29%) and Prop 30 (42%). Today, when it comes to the importance of the consequence of Prop 26, one in four or fewer across partisan groups say it is very important to them. About one in three across partisan groups say the outcome of Prop 27 is very important to them. Fewer than one-half beyond partisan groups say the outcome of Prop 30 is very important to them.

figure - The share of likely voters who say the outcome of the vote is very important differs by proposition

Congressional Elections

When asked how they would vote if the 2022 election for the US House of Representatives were held today, 56 percent of likely voters say they would vote for or lean toward the Democratic candidate, while 39 pct would vote for or lean toward the Republican candidate. In September, a similar share of probable voters preferred the Autonomous candidate (sixty% Democrat/lean Democrat, 34% Republican/lean Republican). Today, overwhelming majorities of partisans support their political party'due south candidate, while independents are divided (fifty% Democrat/lean Democrat, 44% Republican/lean Republican). Autonomous candidates are preferred past a 26-point margin in Democratic-held districts, while Republican candidates are preferred by a 23-point margin in Republican-held districts. In the x competitive California districts as defined past the Cook Political Report, the Democratic candidate is preferred by a 22-point margin (54% to 32%).

figure - A majority of likely voters would vote for the Democratic candidate in their district if the election for Congress were held today

Ballgame is another prominent effect in this election. When asked about the importance of abortion rights, 61 percent of likely voters say the issue is very important in determining their vote for Congress and another twenty percent say it is somewhat important; but 17 percent say it is not as well or non at all important. Amongst partisans, an overwhelming majority of Democrats (78%) and 55 pct of independents say it is very of import, compared to 43 pct of Republicans. Majorities across regions and all demographic groups—with the exception of men (49% very important)—say abortion rights are very important when making their selection among candidates for Congress.

figure - A solid majority of likely voters say the issue of abortion rights is very important in their vote for Congress this year

With the controlling party in Congress hanging in the rest, 51 percent of likely voters say they are extremely or very enthusiastic nearly voting for Congress this year; some other 29 percent are somewhat enthusiastic while 19 percent are either non besides or not at all enthusiastic. In October 2018 earlier the last midterm election, a similar 53 percentage of likely voters were extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for Congress (25% extremely, 28% very, 28% somewhat, 10% not as well, 8% not at all). Today, Democrats and Republicans have nigh equal levels of enthusiasm, while independents are much less probable to be extremely or very enthusiastic. Half or more across regions are at least very enthusiastic, with the exceptions of probable voters in Los Angeles (44%) and the San Francisco Bay Surface area (43%). At least one-half across demographic groups are highly enthusiastic, with the exceptions of probable voters earning $40,000 to $79,999 annually (48%), women (47%), Latinos (43%), those with a high school diploma or less (42%), renters (42%), and 18- to 44-year-olds (37%).

Democracy and the Political Dissever

As Californians set to vote in the upcoming midterm election, fewer than half of adults and likely voters are satisfied with the way republic is working in the United states of america—and few are very satisfied. Satisfaction was higher in our February survey when 53 pct of adults and 48 percent of likely voters were satisfied with democracy in America. Today, half of Democrats and about four in ten independents are satisfied, compared to about one in five Republicans. Notably, 4 in ten Republicans are not at all satisfied. Across regions, half of residents in the San Francisco Bay Expanse (52%) and the Inland Empire (50%) are satisfied, compared to fewer elsewhere. Beyond demographic groups, fewer than half are satisfied, with the exception of Latinos (56%), those with a loftier schoolhouse caste or less (55%), and those making less than $40,000 (53%).

figure - Fewer than half of Californians are satisfied with the way democracy is working in the United States

In improver to the lack of satisfaction with the manner republic is working, Californians are divided about whether Americans of different political positions tin can still come together and work out their differences. Forty-nine percent are optimistic, while 46 percent are pessimistic. Optimism has been like in more contempo years, merely has decreased 7 points since we offset asked this question in September 2017 (56%). In September 2020, only before the 2020 general election, Californians were also divided (47% optimistic, 49% pessimistic).

Today, in a rare moment of bipartisan agreement, about four in ten Democrats, Republicans, and independents are optimistic that Americans of different political views will be able to come together. Across regions, well-nigh half in Orange/San Diego, the Inland Empire, and the San Francisco Bay Area are optimistic. Across demographic groups, only the following groups accept a majority or more who are optimistic: African Americans and Latinos (61% each), those with a high school diploma or less (63%), and those with household incomes nether $40,000 (61%). Notably, in 2017, half or more than beyond parties, regions, and demographic groups were optimistic.

figure - Californians are pessimistic that Americans with different political views can still come together and work out differences

Approval Ratings

With about 2 weeks to go before Governor Newsom'due south bid for reelection, a majority of Californians (54%) and likely voters (52%) corroborate of the mode he is treatment his job, while fewer disapprove (33% adults, 45% likely voters). Approval was almost identical in September (52% adults, 55% likely voters) and has been 50 percent or more since Jan 2020. Today, virtually 8 in ten Democrats—compared to about one-half of independents and about one in ten Republicans—approve of Governor Newsom. Half or more across regions corroborate of Newsom, except in the Central Valley (42%). Beyond demographic groups, virtually one-half or more than approve of how Governor Newsom is handling his chore.

With all 80 state associates positions and half of state senate seats up for election, fewer than one-half of adults (49%) and likely voters (43%) corroborate of the way that the California Legislature is handling its job. Views are deeply divided along partisan lines; approving is highest in the San Francisco Bay Area and lowest in Orange/San Diego. Well-nigh half beyond racial/ethnic groups corroborate, and blessing is much higher among younger Californians.

figure - About half approve of the governor and state legislature

Majorities of California adults (53%) and likely voters (52%) approve of the way President Biden is handling his chore, while fewer disapprove (43% adults, 47% likely voters). Blessing is similar to September (53% adults and probable voters), and Biden's approving rating among adults has been at l percent or higher since nosotros first asked this question in January 2021. Today, about viii in ten Democrats approve of Biden's job performance, compared to nigh 4 in ten independents and one in ten Republicans. Approval is college in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles than in the Inland Empire, Orange/San Diego, and the Central Valley. Most one-half or more across demographic groups corroborate of President Biden, with the exception of those with some college educational activity (44%).

Blessing of Congress remains low, with fewer than four in ten adults (37%) and likely voters (29%) approving. Approving of Congress amongst adults has been below xl per centum for all of 2022 later seeing a brief run to a higher place 40 per centum for all of 2021. Democrats are far more likely than Republicans to approve of Congress. Fewer than one-half across regions and demographic groups approve of Congress.

figure - About half continue to approve of President Biden; approval of Congress remains low

Us Senator Alex Padilla is on the California ballot twice this November—once for the remainder of Vice President Harris'south term and once for reelection. Senator Padilla has the approval of 46 percent of adults and 48 per centum of probable voters (adults: 26% disapprove, 29% don't know; probable voters: 31% disapprove, 22% don't know). Approval in March was at 44 percent for adults and 39 percentage for probable voters. Today, Padilla'south approving rating is much higher amongst Democrats than independents and Republicans. Across regions, about half in the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, and the Inland Empire approve of the US senator, compared to 4 in ten in Orange/San Diego and one in 3 in the Fundamental Valley. Across demographic groups, well-nigh one-half or more approve among women, younger adults, African Americans, Asian Americans, and Latinos. Views are like beyond education and income groups, with just fewer than one-half approving.

US Senator Dianne Feinstein—who is not on the California ballot this November—has the blessing of 41 percent of adults and likely voters (adults: 42% disapprove, 17% don't know; probable voters: 52% disapprove, 7% don't know). Blessing in March was at 41 percentage for adults and 36 percent for probable voters. Today, Feinstein's approval rating is far higher among Democrats and independents than Republicans. Across regions, approval reaches a bulk only in the San Francisco Bay Surface area. Beyond demographic groups, approval reaches a majority just among African Americans